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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

James Talarico opens 28-point swing in Texas Trump stronghold: Private poll

A private poll and other surveys reported in the article show Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton.

James Talarico opens 28-point swing in Texas Trump stronghold: Private poll
Image · Newsweek

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Outlet credibilityNewsweek75/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 5, 2026
Newsweek
Sep 22, 2026
tl;dr

A private poll reported by Quorum Report puts Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico 11 points ahead of Ken Paxton, a sharp shift from Donald Trump’s 2024 margin in the district. The article also cites other polls showing Talarico ahead, while noting the private poll’s methodology was not disclosed.

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VOTING CLOSED
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NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Talarico in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Talarico’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

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Democratic Senate candidate whose polling lead is the article’s focus

PRIMARY SUBJECT
Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate and Talarico’s opponent

Paxton's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose 2024 district result and endorsement are cited as context

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Democratic presidential nominee in the 2024 comparison

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator defeated by Paxton in the Republican primary

ALSO MENTIONED  Leigh Wambsganss, Republican defeated by Taylor Rehmet in the district’s special election; Taylor Rehmet, Democrat who won an earlier special election in the district

Part of a bigger story

5 OUTLETS
Talarico, Abbott lead races in new statewide poll

The articles report Texas polls showing James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. Center outlets treat polling as the story, mostly emphasizing Talarico’s narrow lead; one report highlights a much larger private-poll advantage, while others add governor’s-race, voter-issue, methodology or campaign-spending context.

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