Democrats Lead the GOP in Three Texas Latino Districts Trump Carried—Poll
A Texas Southern University poll showed Pulido leading De La Cruz in her district.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNewsweek is an established national outlet, and its publisher rating of 76 supports a solid credibility assessment. The article attributes polling findings and commentary to named organizations and sources, though the principal Texas Southern University poll’s methodology is not detailed in the text.
- Track record — The site's rating across 128 stories is 76, indicating a generally credible record.
- Source type — Newsweek is identified as a national news outlet.
- Author attribution — The article identifies an author and attributes statements to named sources.
- Transparency — Several polls and their organizations are identified, although details for the leading Texas Southern University poll are limited.
The article compares several polls, reports specific results and margins of error for some surveys, and includes an analyst’s interpretation as well as contrary findings. The principal poll’s sample, field dates and margin of error are not provided, and the campaigns had not responded by publication.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article gives readers several polling perspectives, includes an analyst’s interpretation and reports results that complicate the leading poll’s picture. The main campaigns had not commented, and the central poll’s methodology is not fully presented.
- Source diversity — Multiple polls, a political strategist and a polling executive are included.
- Counterarguments presented — Other surveys show a tighter race or a Paxton lead, tempering the main poll’s findings.
- Omitted context — The main Texas Southern University poll’s sample and margin of error are not given in the article.
The article reports competing poll results and attributes interpretations to analysts and pollsters. Its language and framing do not show a discernible partisan lean.
- Language tone — The wording is predominantly descriptive and avoids overtly partisan language.
- Source selection — The article includes polling from multiple organizations and differing results.
- Framing — It presents the results as indicators while noting uncertainty and close margins.
A Texas Southern University poll found Democratic candidates leading in three Texas congressional districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024. Other Senate polls showed a much closer Talarico-Paxton race, underscoring that the district-level results are not a settled forecast.
A Texas Southern University poll found Bobby Pulido leading Representative Monica De La Cruz 50 percent to 45 percent in Texas’ 15th District, while James Talarico led Ken Paxton there 50 percent to 42 percent. The poll also showed Talarico ahead of Paxton in the 28th and 34th Districts. Republican strategist Mike Madrid said Latino voters’ economic concerns are central to understanding the results.
Other polls showed a tighter Texas Senate race: a University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll put Talarico ahead 42 percent to 39 percent, while an Emerson College poll had Paxton ahead 47 percent to 46 percent. The article notes that Talarico’s advantage in some polls is within or near their margins of error.
Community verdict
15 VOTESPeople in this story
SWIPE →Republican representative and House candidate whose poll standing against Bobby Pulido is reported
Democratic Senate candidate whose poll standing against Ken Paxton is reported
Talarico's version of this story ↗Democratic House candidate whose poll standing against Monica De La Cruz is reported
Pulido's version of this story ↗Republican Senate candidate whose poll standing against James Talarico is reported
Paxton's version of this story ↗President whose 2024 district victories provide context for the poll results
Libertarian Senate candidate whose support is reported in a poll
Representative cited as the incumbent in Texas’ 28th District
Senator whose 2024 district results are used as a comparison
Former Senate candidate cited as historical context about Texas polling
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