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Can Progressive Democrat Jarrett Keohokalole Win Hawaii Primary? Final Polls

Ed Case is defending his seat in a competitive Democratic primary against Jarrett Keohokalole.

Can Progressive Democrat Jarrett Keohokalole Win Hawaii Primary? Final Polls
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This article1 analysis · Oct 1, 2026
Newsweek
Aug 8, 2026
tl;dr

Hawaii’s 1st District Democratic primary pits incumbent Rep. Ed Case against state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, with polls offering conflicting signals: averages show Case ahead, while a Keohokalole-sponsored poll puts Keohokalole in front. The race is framed as a test of generational change versus seniority.

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Ed Case D · HI-1
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Ed Case
D · HI-1

Incumbent in the Democratic primary for Hawaii’s 1st Congressional District

PRIMARY SUBJECT

State senator challenging Case in the Democratic primary

Keohokalole's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President referenced in a comparison of district election results and in discussion of the SAVE Act

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Vice president referenced in a comparison of district election results

Former Democratic primary contender who left the congressional race to run for lieutenant governor

Part of a bigger story

7 OUTLETS
Ed Case Wins Hawaii Democratic Primary for First Congressional District

Outlets agree that Ed Case defeated state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole in Hawaii’s Democratic primary. Center outlets report the result and situate the race in a broader contest between centrist and progressive Democrats. Right-leaning outlets cast Case’s win as an establishment victory over progressive challengers.

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