Annie Andrews' Chances of Beating Darline Graham in South Carolina
Graham won the Republican nomination and is Andrews’ opponent in the November Senate race.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYNewsweek is an established national news outlet, and its publisher rating supports a solid institutional credibility assessment. The page identifies its author and attributes key claims to the AP, campaign polling, and named polling or forecasting sources.
- Track record — The publisher’s rating is 76 based on 128 stories, indicating a generally established record.
- Source type — A national news outlet, which is a strong prior for editorial processes and reporting standards.
- Author attribution — The article names Andrew Stanton as author.
- Transparency — The article identifies the internal poll’s sponsor, sample size, field dates, and margin of error.
The article gives polling methodology and identifies the poll as an internal survey from a Democratic-aligned firm, then cautions that internal polls may be selectively released and that independent polling is unavailable. It also draws on election results, prediction markets, forecasters and approval polling, though much of its race-specific evidence is not independent polling.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The piece gives the Democratic campaign’s argument and internal poll, but also explains the poll’s limitations and includes Republican-favorable forecasts, market estimates and statewide electoral context. Darline Graham is not directly quoted, and the race lacks public independent polling.
- Counterarguments presented — The article counters the campaign’s tied internal poll with caveats, market estimates and forecasts favoring Republicans.
- Source diversity — Uses campaign polling, AP election reporting, prediction markets, forecasters and approval polling, though not independent race polling.
- Omitted context — No direct comment from Darline Graham is included, and the article says independent public race polls are unavailable.
- Loaded language — The article’s language is generally neutral and attributes candidates’ political claims.
The article presents the race through polling, election results and forecasts in largely neutral language. It includes Andrews’ case for competitiveness alongside Republican-favorable market and forecaster assessments, with explicit caveats about internal polling.
- Language tone — Mostly descriptive wording, with campaign claims attributed to their speakers.
- Source selection — Includes the campaign’s internal poll but also identifies its partisan alignment and limitations, and reports market and forecaster views favoring Republicans.
- Framing — Frames the race as a potential Democratic opportunity while emphasizing the state’s Republican lean and Republican-favorable forecasts.
Darline Graham won the Republican special primary and will face Democrat Annie Andrews in the November Senate race. An Andrews campaign poll showed the candidates tied, while prediction markets gave Republicans a substantial advantage.
Darline Graham defeated Representative Ralph Norman in the Republican primary, winning roughly 52 percent, and will face Democrat Annie Andrews in November. The special primary followed the death of Senator Lindsey Graham; Darline Graham had been appointed to serve out the current term.
An internal poll released by Andrews’ campaign showed her and Darline Graham tied at 41 percent. The poll surveyed 700 likely voters from August 18 to 24 and had a 3.7-point margin of error. The article notes that internal polls may be released selectively and that no independent public polls of the race had been released.
Prediction markets gave Republicans an 87-to-88-percent chance of winning the seat, and the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the race solid or safe for Republicans. The article also describes South Carolina as a reliably Republican state, while reporting Democrats’ belief that President Trump’s approval ratings could make the contest more competitive.
Community verdict
16 VOTESPeople in this story
SWIPE →Republican nominee and incumbent senator facing Annie Andrews
Democratic nominee seeking to defeat Darline Graham in the Senate race
Andrews's version of this story ↗Late senator whose death created the Senate vacancy
Democratic Senate candidate in the 2020 race against Lindsey Graham
Former Republican presidential nominee mentioned in South Carolina election history
Former Republican presidential nominee mentioned in South Carolina election history
President who endorsed Graham and whose approval ratings are discussed as a factor in the race
Representative who lost the Republican primary to Darline Graham
Part of a bigger story
3 OUTLETSCenter outlets report that Darline Graham won South Carolina’s Republican Senate runoff and will face Democrat Annie Andrews in November. Center outlets connect Graham’s win to the general-election race: United Press International reports the runoff result, while Newsweek focuses on polling and forecasts about her contest with Andrews.
- ARTICLES
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- OUTLETS
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- AVG CRED
- 82
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