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● InformationalVoting Rights

'Here's the catch:' Florida election difficult to predict as early voting opens

Political scientists describe Donalds as the leading Republican gubernatorial candidate and discuss the influence of Trump’s endorsement.

'Here's the catch:' Florida election difficult to predict as early voting opens
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This article1 analysis · Oct 1, 2026

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Aug 3, 2026
tl;dr

Florida early voting began in some counties as the August 18 primary approached, with more than half a million mail ballots returned. Political scientists said partisan polling makes outcomes harder to forecast and discussed key Senate and governor contests.

Community verdict

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Byron Donalds R · FL-19
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People in this story

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Byron Donalds
R · FL-19

Republican candidate for Florida governor

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic candidate in the Florida U.S. Senate primary

Nixon's version of this story ↗

Democratic candidate in the Florida U.S. Senate primary

Vindman's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President whose earlier endorsement of Donalds is discussed

Ashley Moody
R · FL · SEN

Republican U.S. senator and expected general-election opponent of the Democratic primary winner

ALSO MENTIONED  Blaise Ingoglia, Florida chief financial officer facing a primary challenge; Paul Renner, Republican gubernatorial candidate mentioned as receiving a Miami Herald endorsement

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