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Fox News poll shows Talarico leads Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race

A Fox News poll found Paxton trailing James Talarico and reported voter concerns about his character.

Fox News poll shows Talarico leads Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race
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This article1 analysis · Oct 1, 2026
Fox News
Jul 30, 2026
tl;dr

A Fox News poll found James Talarico leading Ken Paxton 51% to 48% in the Texas Senate race, within the poll’s margin of error. It also found greater concern about Paxton’s character and stronger reported enthusiasm among Democrats.

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Ken Paxton R · TX
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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate in Texas

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Senate candidate in Texas

Talarico's version of this story ↗
Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President; referenced for his endorsement of Paxton and poll ratings

Kamala Harris
Former U.S. Senator (D-CA)

Former vice president and 2024 presidential candidate

Beto O'Rourke
Former U.S. Representative (D-TX)

Former Democratic Texas gubernatorial candidate

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Texas senator and Republican primary opponent of Paxton

ALSO MENTIONED  Ann Richards, Former Texas governor; Gina Hinojosa, Democratic candidate for governor of Texas; Greg Abbott, Republican governor of Texas; Jimmy Carter, Former president and 1976 presidential candidate; Lloyd Bentsen, Former U.S. senator from Texas

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Fox News Poll Shows Talarico Leading Paxton in Texas Senate Race

A Fox News poll put James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, 51% to 48%, within the poll’s margin of error. Left-leaning outlets present the result as momentum for Talarico and highlight his fundraising edge and controversies around Paxton. Center outlets emphasize that the race is competitive and the poll is uncertain. Right-leaning outlets focus on Paxton’s campaign challenges, with one urging him to campaign more actively.

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