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● InformationalElections / Campaigns

Talarico Vs. Paxton: Talarico's Betting Odds Fall Quickly In Texas Senate Race

Paxton’s odds rose as Talarico’s fell in the prediction markets discussed in the article.

Talarico Vs. Paxton: Talarico's Betting Odds Fall Quickly In Texas Senate Race
Image · Forbes

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Outlet credibilityForbes77/100 HIGH
This article1 analysis · Oct 6, 2026
Forbes
May 28, 2026
tl;dr

James Talarico’s betting-market odds in the Texas Senate race fell below 40% at times Thursday, while Ken Paxton’s rose to 60%. The article compares those shifts with earlier odds, polls and the candidates’ campaign backdrop.

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VOTING CLOSED
How does this story look for
Ken Paxton R · TX
NOT RATEDCLOSED

No good or bad look here

This story reports what happened without casting Paxton in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Paxton’s record.

● INFORMATIONAL

People in this story

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Ken Paxton
R · TX

Republican Senate candidate whose betting-market odds rose

PRIMARY SUBJECT

Democratic Senate candidate whose betting-market odds fell

Talarico's version of this story ↗

Representative and former Democratic primary opponent

Donald Trump
R · President of the United States

President who endorsed Paxton and is mentioned in campaign attacks

John Cornyn
R · TX · SEN

Incumbent Republican senator who lost the primary runoff to Paxton

ALSO MENTIONED  Stephen Miller, Deputy White House chief of staff who posted a jab at Democrats’ nominee

Part of a bigger story

10 OUTLETS
Paxton Wins Texas Senate Nomination, Faces Talarico in November

Ken Paxton won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas, setting up a general-election race against James Talarico. Coverage also reports that the candidates began trading attacks. Left-leaning outlets frame Paxton’s win as evidence of Trump’s influence in the GOP primary and a possible liability in the general election. Center outlets generally present the campaign as a two-sided exchange of attacks and messaging, with some focusing on Talarico’s response or betting-market odds. Right-leaning outlets highlight Trump’s backing and Paxton’s campaign messaging, with one article praising his first ad.

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