Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump's announcement
President Trump's sudden ceasefire announcement on Truth Social coincided with suspicious high-volume betting activity on the Polymarket prediction platform.
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TAP FOR WHYOutlet credibility · Associated Press97/100 HIGH
411 stories · 96.5–97.3 · updated Sep 25, 2026
This article1 analysis · Apr 18, 2026
SOURCEAssociated Press
Published Apr 8, 2026
tl;dr
A series of new Polymarket accounts made substantial profits by betting on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire just hours before President Trump announced it, sparking renewed concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
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