What are experts predicting for this close-watched Alabama congressional election?
Figures is seeking to retain his seat in a district rated likely Republican.

SOURCE CHECK
TAP FOR WHYAL.com is an established regional news outlet, and the article has a named author. It identifies the source of the race ratings and attributes the quoted forecast, though the article itself offers limited sourcing beyond those projections and a campaign-aligned poll.
- Source type — An established regional news publisher.
- Transparency — It attributes the ratings to Cook Political Report and identifies the poll as conducted by a national Democratic organization.
- Author attribution — The article names its author.
The article gives concrete polling figures, sample size, field dates and margin of error, and attributes the national forecast to a named analyst. Its sourcing is narrow, and a statement about Senate seat requirements appears incongruous in an article centered on House control.
HOW WE SCORE ↗The article presents both candidates’ polling figures equally and includes the poll’s methodology, but relies on a Democratic organization’s internal poll and does not include a competing poll or response from the Republican side.
- Counterarguments presented — The tied poll result gives both candidates equal standing, but there is no alternative poll or opposing campaign response.
- Source diversity — The Cook analyst and the internal Democratic poll provide some distinct sources, though the polling evidence is narrow.
- Omitted context — No Republican-aligned polling or response is included.
The article reports ratings and polling figures in a largely neutral, attributed manner. Its poll comes from a Democratic organization, but that alone does not establish a partisan framing by the article.
- Language tone — The language is predominantly factual and restrained.
- Source selection — The article uses Cook ratings and an internal poll from a Democratic organization, identifying the poll's origin.
- Framing — It presents the race as part of a broader House-control forecast rather than advocating for either candidate.
Cook Political Report’s latest ratings favor Democrats in more House races than Republicans, while Alabama’s 2nd District remains rated likely Republican. A summer poll cited in the article found Shomari Figures and Rhett Marques tied at 46%.
Cook Political Report projected that Democrats could win House control in November, citing 208 races rated Solid, Likely or Lean Democratic and 205 favored for Republicans. Analyst Erin Covey said the estimates suggested Democrats could gain five to 15 seats.
Alabama’s 2nd District shifted from solid Republican to likely Republican in late June and remained in that category in the latest polls. An internal poll conducted for a national Democratic organization found incumbent Shomari Figures and state representative Rhett Marques tied at 46%, with 8% undecided; it surveyed 421 likely voters and had a 4.8% margin of error.
Community verdict
VOTING CLOSEDNo good or bad look here
This story reports what happened without casting Figures in a good or bad light, so readers don’t rate it and it doesn’t count toward Figures’s record.
People in this story
SWIPE →Republican candidate challenging the incumbent in Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District
Marques's version of this story ↗Discussion · 0
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